WikiLeaks lekt e-mails Stratfor

Volgens één van de emails van Statfor, die Wikileaks heeft gelekt, waren Israëlische commando’s verantwoordelijk voor de explosie die de Iranese nucleaire faciliteit bij Teheran vernietigde. Ze zouden de operatie hebben uitgevoerd in samenwerking met Koedische strijders en/of Iranese joden die naar Israël zijn geëmigreerd.

In de email, gedateerd november 2011, schrijft een medewerker van Startfor dat hij een van zijn bronnen vroeg wat hij moest denken van rapporten als zouden de Israëliërs een militair offensief voorbereiden tegen Iran. Vervolgens citeert hij het antwoord dat hij kreeg: “I think this is a diversion. The Israelis already destroyed all the Iranian nuclear infrastructure on the ground weeks ago.”

Volgens WikiLeaks hielt Stratfor, in opdracht van de Amerikaanse chemiereus Dow Chemical, ook activisten in de gaten die de oorzaken en gevolgen van de ramp in 1984 bij Bhopal in India onderzochten.

“Stratfor has a mix of covert and overt informants, which includes government employees, embassy staff and journalists around the world. Government and diplomatic sources from around the world give Stratfor advance knowledge of global politics and events in exchange for money.” enz. enz.
Hier staat het bericht van Wikileaks zelf, waaruit Trouw slechts enkele citaatjes heeft gepikt:
http://wikileaks.org/the-gifiles.html

De toestand in de wereld – Een analyse van door Stratfor-baas George Friedman:
Bron: Hjalmar Hoort, een reagluurer op Joop.

Kissinger believes that the Israelis are in a panic and will attack Iran. Erdogan has made it clear to him that he plans to break with Israel at some point and reorient toward the Islamic world. He intends to be their leader.

Paul Volcker regards the Greek crisis as potentially a mortal blow for the EU. He would like to see an IMF tranche. He also said that Nicholas Brady is behind both this and the Volcker principles Obama adopted. When I asked Brady how he expects to get the the U.S. to go along with an IMF bailout, he shrugged and said they won't, but that's the only choice. Volcker is now doubtful the Euro can survive.
Brady is convinced it will. Kissinger thinks Volcker and Brady are missing the real crisis which is in Iran and potentially Russia. Volcker also says that the Bank of England and the French will go along with the Volcker rules on an international
basis--that is returning to a variety of Glass-Steagal. The Japanese will do whatever is said, and in Germany only Deutsche Bank really makes decisions. Sarkozy told him he would come in.

So there may be an international convention on restructuring banks under way--Volcker is pretty careful in what he says and doesn't promote himself more than the average bear, so this may be the case. Nick Brady thinks so too.

Total confusion on situation in China, but more on Obama. They don't understand who is running China policy. The decision to meet with the Dalia Lama strikes them as particularly bizarre.
But China is the least of the discussion. It is about Greece and Iran. China is kind of an afterthought.

I asked Tim Reed who ran Resolution Trust Corporation during the S&L;crisis under Nick Brady whether a new RTC would have been better as a supplement to TARP and he agreed but said that Paulsen was so panicked he wasn't thinking and Bernaecke and he were just responding.

One sense I'm getting here is that the American elite, along with Europe's, China's and just about everyone but Russia’s is suffering from three problems:
First, none are really aware of the political pressures on other elites.
Second, they completely misunderstand the alienation of the publics,
three, except for Volcker, they think this can be handled by the elites among themselves. We have a crisis of the elites, in my view.

I get to hold forth in an hour or so, and I'm going to argue that Iran is going out of control because of the elite crisis. No decision making is going on and the decisions that are being made won't be supported in the public. The only country that is acting decisively and can do so is Russia.

This is for our own internal use. This must not be published or
discussed outside Stratfor.